After last month’s absolute disaster, where Croatia gained zero points from matches against Turkey and Wales, we all now know that our beloved Vatreni no longer control their own destiny to qualify for Euro 2024 through their current qualifying group. (Yes, they can qualify through a Nations League playoff in March but let’s take that out of the equation for now.)
Turkey have already qualified and Wales will follow them with 6 points this week. Wales travel to Armenia before hosting Turkey on the last match day. However, as I stated last month, I just don’t see Wales winning both matches: PSA: Wales Will Not Pick Up 6 Points In November
If they don’t pick up all 6 points AND Croatia win both of their games this week (vs. Latvia and Armenia), Modrić and company will automatically qualify for Euro 2024 next summer in Germany.
So with that said, what chances do you give Wales to beat both Armenia and Turkey this week, with both nations needing wins to better their situations in qualifying? Remember, even though Turkey have qualified, winning this match against Wales will put them in a better pot during the draw.
Chances Wales wins both games: 25%